Jonathan TaylorThe 18 touchdowns last season were the most the NFL had seen since LeGarrette Blount broke the volley multiple times in 2016.
Taylor, of course, had four more seasons to hit that level with his 17th game presentation last year, and he benefited from the NFL’s lead in both attempts (332) and yards (1,811) by large margins. Ponies ran is a Clear Preference (+450) in SI Sportsbook To repeat as a touchdown captain in the NFL in his third season.
You don’t have to go far to find the last time you played the speeding descent hero: Derek Henry He did so in 2019 and 2020 and has the second-best prospect of leading the NFL in ground results this season (+600) for the third time.
Running Back Props Series: Rushing Yards
There is a clear separation between Taylor and Henry at the top of the market and then an even steeper decline for the rest of the contenders, none of whom have accomplished this feat before. dolphin cook (+1000) tied to 3rd best odds Joe Mixon And the Nick Chubb Then there is another clear class separation after these five.
It took no less than 16 touchdowns to lead the league in each of the past five seasons and only Taylor achieved that mark in 2021. Will Taylor or Henry end up once again at the top or will another comeback seal the title?
Bet on the NFL at SI Sportsbook
Michael Conroy/AFP
Jonathan Taylor +450
Derek Henry +600
Dalphin Cook +1000
Joe Mixon +1000
Nick Chubb +1000
James Conner +1400
Nagy Harris +1400
Christian McCaffrey +1600
Ezekiel Elliott +1600
Leonard Fortnite +1600
Austin Eckler +1800
Damian Harris +2000
Cam Akers +2200
JK Dobbins +2200
Galen Hurts +2200
Jafonte Williams +2200
Elijah Mitchell +2500
I will be Barclay +2500
Aaron Jones +2800
Antonio Gibson +2800
David Montgomery +2800
D’Andre Swift +3300
Josh Jacobs +3300
Contestants: Taylor and Henry outperform the rest
Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts (+450)
The ponies were at the bottom fifth in traffic frequency (52.5%) and the top five in lunge attempts for each game (29.4) before the season. Taylor captured 19.5 of those impulses and topped Nagy Harris To top the league in 25 attempts to carry, more than worth the work of the entire game. Taylor also monopolized the relegation stake in Indianapolis—the rest of the team combined for three points on the floor.
Taylor’s penchant for the finish zone was a direct result of his unprecedented work in the red. he is Carrying the ball to the highest level in the league 85 times within the 20The Most of them have been in the NFL since at least 2000. He cut his attempts in the red in half and Taylor will remain in the top five in these highly prized carriers. To his credit he made full use of his work near the goal line, scoring 14 out of 18 touchdowns in 20, 13 inside 10 and 11 inside five – he’s led the league in every category.
Compare that to Carson Wentz’s 67th pass attempts inside the red zone And you can see who the coaching staff trusts in the scoring center. The frequency of passing foals is likely to increase this season by Matt Ryan Take over the quarterback.
A potential job cut would not require fewer landings for Taylor. Indianapolis is the top attacker with Ryan at the helm, which could open up more scoring opportunities. Taylor’s efficiency may have to be improved on fewer transfers in order to approach or match the league’s leading relegation production last season.
Total number of victories in South Asia over / under: ten | IND | ho | jax | Division odds
An article written by Michael Fabiano earlier in the season titled “Predicting the Year After Scoring 18 Touchdowns: Jonathan Taylor, Austin Eckler, James Conner” is worth bearing in mind when analyzing this market. It tells the story of the high rate of decline in the year after the end zone was found at least 18 times.
Mark Humphrey/AFP
Derek Henry, Tennessee Titans (+600)
Henry led the NFL in relegation on a per-game basis last season — and his 17-game slate put him on track for more than 21 goals, which would have been the all-time high of his career. Although injuries shortened Henry’s season to eight games, he still finished a three-way showdown to finish sixth in relegation (10). The Titans also finished working in 10th place (219) after scoring 27.4 lunges per game during the first half of the season.
Consecutive seasons of over 300 pregnancies finally caught Henry in 2021 when he fell due to a foot injury. His return in the post-season is a good sign of his health next season. In fact, all Henry needs to do is hold on in order to finish at or near the top of the league again. He averaged 13.75 touchdowns per season over the past four years, including last season’s abridged campaign.
Henry, like Taylor, tends to clean up in the red by scoring 13 points from within 20 each season that he led in the league in rapid relegation. And that’s nearly without many of Taylor’s chances near the goal line – Henry finished second in red-zone attempts (59) in 2020 and seventh (42) in 2019.
Tennessee offense is expected to take a step back with AJ Brown’s star receiver trade, but Henry’s return to the squad could be the necessary shot into the Titans’ arm to return to their top 10 efficiency numbers from 2019 and 2020.
Andy Clayton King/AFP
Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings (+1000)
Cook’s relegation frequency stalled last season after he averaged better than one score per game over the last two seasons. The Vikings comeback missed four games, as he was prone to do so in his career, scoring only six goals in 13 competitions. However, he carried the ball 249 times, which is the fifth most ball in the league. The cooker is a volume machine and this volume generally translates to landing.
This was not the case in 2021.
During Cook’s two seasons on double-digit trips to the finish zone, he was among the most efficient red-zone runners in the league. He made 12 of his 13 points in 2019 from inside 20 and 13 out of 16 touchdowns in 2020. Cooke was one of the most ineffective high-volume dash games in the red in 2021. He carried the ball 45 times and only managed five scores on those opportunities.
The reimagined Vikings offense under coach Kevin O’Connell could open up better impulse lanes for Cook when the playing field gets tight. for what it’s worth, Sony Michaelwho played for O’Connell when he was with rams A season ago, Cook tied with 45 loads inside the 20 and only managed four points.
Quarterback Props Series: Scrolling Yards | pass TD | Brady | Herbert | aline
The expectation in Minnesota is a slight increase in passing frequency with O’Connell’s offense recalled. Vikings mattress 18 in success rate Last season, his rate could go up and allow Cook to get more passes but not necessarily repeat the 2020 season when he carried the ball 312 times. Of course, a better offense overall could also result in Cook having more easy chances from within the 10 and 5-yard lines and back within 15 touchdowns.
Bob Donnan USA Today Sports
Sleepers: Dobbins could impress in Season 1
J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore Ravens (+2200)
JK Dobbins He tore his ACL about a year ago and missed the entire 2021 season after a promising rookie campaign. It was Back to the field in training this week After activation from the PUP list and back in the first week is a real possibility. This is good news for Baltimore, which was wracked by injuries last season, and great news for Dobbins, who is progressing to one of the most difficult teams in football.
Despite placing third (134) on the team in his first season, Dobbins found his paycheck to be nine times higher on the team. This was more than Lamar Jacksonwho ran the ball 159 times and broke 1,000 yards to the ground, and Joss Edwards, which scored 144 holds. Dobbins finished third in the NFL, behind Jackson and Keeler Murrayand first in yards per carry (6.0) that season.
Chances increased as the season went on, but Dobbins’ career began with a double game despite only carrying the ball seven times. After proving his worth by outing 100 yards in his first game with a double-digit load, Baltimore began feeding his rookie player more and more and made seven touchdowns during the last six games of the season. That was despite a tie for second place on the team in the red with Edwards (25) behind Jackson (30).
Dobbins’ run of the rock will be a welcome sight for the crows after they have rushed outside Latvius MurrayAnd the Defonta Freeman And the Levon Bell season before. That they finished outside the top 10 in an accelerated touchdown is a testament to the chart, which will benefit a better adult like Dobbins who will get the lion’s share of the action with Edwards’ recovery taking longer than his.
Best Bet: Derek Henry (+600)
Value Bet: JK Dobbins (+2200)
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